It once again occurred to me that predictability in sports is most accurately prognosticated by a team’s overall psychology.
As a self proclaimed Psychologist, frustrated athlete, and former Coach, I’ve been practicing this theory since 1993, with amazing documented success since. I.E. Houston Rockets rise to the NBA Championship, which was a prediction I made at the time.
- A Strong Coach/Manager
- Selfless star(s) or team leaders
- A maniacal collective view on the goal to achieve
Other factors also can be very influential to team’s psychology such as Trades, Free agents, and to a lesser extent Draft choices.
Surprisingly, this philosophy is also more accurate with larger numbers of athletes on a team.
Football, Baseball, Hockey, and Basketball, in that order.
We’ve all seen and felt the momentum change during seasons and even during games. Was there anyone in America who didn’t feel it in the second half of the most recent Superbowl?
There are certain teams right now that have all the necessary factors in place, just waiting for the right situation to come about. Case in point: Last week the New England vs The New Orleans Saints. Both teams have most if not all the necessary ingredients in place. Both have great coaches, selfless super stars, opening day losses, and perceived porous defenses. New Orleans even had home field advantage, but also had one factor that completely tipped the scale and ruined the team chemistry and made the outcome easy to predict. They had their high profile free agent signee make the comment mid-week; ‘I didn’t come here to carry the ball 9 times a game’, bingo!
Remember when Bill Parcels led your N. E. Patriots to the Superbowl, only to leak the fact he was leaving for the Jets job after. Another prime example I took advantage of.
By way of prognostication I leave you Patriots fans with something to consider. The Patriots will be facing an undefeated football team in week 4. Mark this down!
The Phantom Sports Psychologist