Only Three Other Quarterbacks Have Won the Super Bowl with a Lower QB Rating Than Jared Goff Since 2006
While the media has done their best counting the Patriots out all season, Jared Goff isn't exactly the favored QB to make it out with the Vince Lombardy Trophy according to playoff statistic history. In fact there are only three QB's to win the Super Bowl with a lower QBR Rating than Goff since 2006.
Just a few more days and the underdog New England Patriots who have been bad-mouthed, criticized, and counted out all season long will take the field for their third straight Super Bowl against the Los Angeles Rams. The NFC representative who set off for Atlanta following an incredibly underwhelming crowd of support, tallying at roughly two thousand. The poorest of fan support since perhaps the 2008 Tampa Bay Rays who were forced to give away free tickets in attempt to fill Tropicana Field during their run to the World Series. However despite LA-LA Land not caring less about their newly acquired football team making the Super Bowl, maybe it's Jared Goff who innocently enters as the true underdog in Super Bowl 53.
When looking from a statistical standpoint, history doesn't necessarily favor Goff for Sunday. The 24 year old Los Angeles QB, who was just seven years old when Tom Brady defeated the then St. Louis Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI. A Super Bowl in which the Rams were favorited by 14... cough cough. Anyways when taking QBR into account, Jared Goff certainly has the odds stacked against him for Sunday.
When going through this list by ESPN statistics from FiveThirtyEight.com, you'll notice that there are but three notable names of NFL Quarterbacks who've won the Super Bowl with QBR ratings less than Jared Goff's 62.8. Those players being Ben Roethlisbereger (56.5, 2008 Steelers), Russell Wilson (35.6, 2013 Seahawks), and Peyton Manning (40.0, 2015 Broncos). Now think to yourself- what do these combined five-time Super Bowl Champions have in common? Something that three-year veteran Jared Goff doesn't have to his side. Russ, Big Ben, and Peyton are all Hall of Fame caliber quarterbacks.
No matter how you want to see it, what your fan biases are, what they may have or may not have done off the field, these guys are top tier household names who have earned noteworthy recognition for what they've done for their respective franchises. Ben Roethlisberger is Mr.Steeler- having thrown for the most passing yards and touchdowns out've any Quarterback in Pittsburgh's franchise history. Russell Wilson is Seattle's all-time season passing yards leader (4,024) after reaching said milestone back in 2015. Then there's Peyton Manning who's collected the most milestones of the three. Some being the most touchdown passes (539), 4,000+ yard passing seasons (14), and Pro-Bowl appearances (14). However you want to look at it, these are some of the greatest in the game to ever do it.
Lets also consider the fact that football is a game of x-factors which one can argue in the case of both Peyton Manning and Russell Wilson for their 2013, 2015 Super Bowl wins. Something that Goff has by his side and had all season long. That being a strong defense. Von Miller did so for Denver, Richard Sherman for Seattle's infamous Legion of Boom. Something that can certainly play big for Los Angeles, a defense that ranks second having allowed 299.0 yards per game. Now I know what the millions and millions of Patriot haters around will instantly say to this... MALCOLM BUTLER. However it also took that Super Bowl's MVP, throwing for a Super Bowl record 37 completions on 50 attempts to even get Butler and the New England defense to that position. Well, what can I say Tom Brady and the New England Patriots have less big-name "experts" and "analysts" using stats and basic logic to put together a valid Super Bowl prediction. Maybe I'm biased but I'm pretty sure there's no such thing as nine Super Bowl appearance flukes.