Apologize again for not putting out a formal article last week, but if it’s any consolation, the picks I did tweet out wouldn’t have been of much help to you. Hopefully this week with the Patriots returning from their bye week I’ll get back to my winning ways. I will also be introducing a new feature this week, 3 Spreads I Love, where I will be picking the spreads of 3 games this week where, if I was a gambler, I would feel comfortable betting money.
Last Week’s Record: 8-5
Season Record: 83-49
No Carson Palmer and no David Johnson has me very hard pressed to pick the Cardinals in any games against winning opponents the rest of the season, even with the Seahawks offense being so inconsistent, but Russell Wilson has more offensive weapons at his disposal, and the Seahawks will be looking to bounce back from a tough, last minute loss to Washington.
New Orleans Saints @ Buffalo Bills
The Saints started 0-2 and have since been one of the best teams in the NFL, with Mark Ingram going off since the Adrian Peterson trade and the defense doing a full 180 degrees turn, from the joke of the league to one of its best. The Bills meanwhile got blown out by the Jets last week, so… yeah there’s that.
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
The Bears defense hasn’t allowed a touchdown to a wide receiver over the last 4 games, and have allowed only 23 points over the last 2 weeks. Going up against a struggling, Brett Hundley led Packers team at home will give Mitch Trubisky a chance to get his first win over a rival in front of the Chicago faithful, with the help of hot pass rusher Leonard Floyd on the defensive side. The future is looking brighter in Chicago.
Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions
It’s the Browns, enough said.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Tennessee Titans
I expect the Titans corners will be giving AJ Green plenty of room this week after watching him put Jags corner Jalen Ramsey in a choke hold and then throw punches (at his helmet none the less…), but the Cincy offense simply hasn’t looked good of late and those struggles should continue in Tennessee.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts
The Steelers ride a 3-game winning streak into Indianapolis where the biggest story is the injured Andrew Luck and out-there owner Jim Irsay being at odds over his toughness. Keep TY Hilton contained, and this should be a walk in the park for Pitt.
New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jameis Winston is out with a shoulder injury, Mike Evans is suspended for defending Winston’s stupid antics, and Ryan Fitzpatrick is facing his former team. None of that is good for an already terrible Tampa Bay squad, who appear to still be stuck with a losing culture. Never thought I would pick the Jets in any game this year, but hey, miracles happen.
Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins
Toughest pick of the week for me. Minnesota, despite losing Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook, have won 4 in a row, with Case Keenum playing very well and their defense having not allowed any teams over the last 6 weeks to score 20 points. Washington is coming off a comeback win over Seattle on the road, and have the Vikings in Washington this week. My head says go with Minnesota, but my gut is telling me this is an upset game. I flipped a coin and my head won.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
I still love this Chargers team, and think they’re a year away from truly being able to compete. That being said, the offense isn’t at a level that they can put up enough points against a tenacious defense like Jacksonville’s, who will have Jalen Ramsey available this week after he avoided a suspension for his brawl with AJ Green last week. The Jags also will get Leonard Fournette back this week after he sat for violating team rules.
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Rams
I feel so sorry for Deshaun Watson, not only for losing his incredible rookie season to a torn ACL, but also for the fact that he has to watch Tom Savage run his Texan’s offense the rest of the season. Meanwhile, Los Angeles’s offense is firing on all cylinders as Jared Goff continues to look like a former number one overall pick.
Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons
Whether or not Ezekiel Elliot is suspended or not, Atlanta’s offense has been so bad that I have no doubt Dallas’s defense will have no issues containing Matt Ryan’s company.
New York Giants @ San Francisco 49ers
This is San Fran’s best chance to pick up a win this season, but with new quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo not seemingly ready to step in, the 49ers will send CJ Beathard out again, and the Giants defense, who got embarrassed last week against the Rams, should feast on him.
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
The last few years this game has been hyped up as one of the marque match ups of the NFL season. But if you have seen the Denver offense lately (and the defense last week against Philly for that matter), then you know this game is going to be far from competitive.
Miami Dolphins @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina either looks really good or really bad, so picking them over Miami here is tough, because Miami, despite having less talent than Carolina, is just as inconsistent. Newton has more weapons at his disposal than Smokin Jay, and Carolina’s defense does a better job in the secondary than Miami’s.
3 Spreads I Love
Jets @ Buccaneers
Spread: NYJ -2.5
Love the Jets this week going up against turnover specialist Ryan Fitzpatrick, and with the spread at less than a field goal, it’s a great pick.
Vikings @ Redskins
Spread: MIN -1.0
I said earlier that this was a tough game to pick, but Minnesota is the smart pick, and at less than a field goal, this is an ideal spread to look at.
Saints @ Bills
Spread: NO -3.0
Small spread and a hot team makes for a less risky pick. New Orleans has averaged a 15-point margin of victory over their 6 game winning streak.
*I make these picks simply for fun. I am not responsible for any money lost on bets.